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Silfio country intelligence

Grenada

Low risk1.1% annual probabilitystable trend

Grenada facts

Population

N/A

GDP

N/A

Currency

N/A

Capital

N/A

Land area

N/A

Official languages

N/A

Population and GDP: World Bank. Country facts: bundled reference data.

Risk assessment

Silfio assessment of Grenada

NEWS

Conflict probability

1.1%

Model base probability

1.1%

Risk category

Low

Strategic reasoning

  • No prediction market data exists for Grenada, so adjustment relies solely on news signals.
  • News coverage focuses exclusively on ongoing conflicts and military actions in Ukraine, Russia, Iran, and the Persian Gulf region, with no mention or indication of instability or conflict risk in Grenada.
  • Grenada is a small Caribbean island with no current signs of domestic unrest, insurgency, or external threats in the news.
  • However, given the global rise in geopolitical tensions and increased military conflicts elsewhere, there is a slight elevated risk of contagion or indirect effects that could increase instability marginally.

Critical indicators

  • Renewed military conflict and geopolitical risk premium increases in the Persian Gulf involving Iran and the US.
  • Intensified Russia-Ukraine war with missile and drone attacks, but no spillover or regional destabilization signals affecting Grenada.

Related coverage

Latest articles about Grenada

Updated July 20, 2026

www.thepaperboy.com · 2 days ago

Thepaperboy

Archive · Sat 18 Jul · US Edition · Loading 12 US front pages for 18 July 2026

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kyivindependent.com · 2 days ago

2 Russian logistics centers, oil depot hit as Kyiv launches hundreds of drones towards Moscow

"These are Russian logistics facilities, specifically warehouses used to supply war materiel: navigation equipment, components for drone production, and other supplies for the Russian army," President Volodymyr Zelensky said.

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economictimes.indiatimes.com · 8 hours ago

Russian attacks kill 6 in Kyiv, other cities; expose gaps in Ukraine's air defences - The Economic Times

Moscow has in recent weeks stepped up its use of ballistic missiles as it seeks to choke off Ukrainian strikes on oil facilities deep inside Russia that have caused critical fuel shortages affecting both the military and the civilian population.

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