All countries

Silfio country intelligence

Fiji

Minimal risk0.6% annual probabilitystable trend
Fiji flag

Fiji facts

Population

933.15K

GDP

$6.2B

Currency

FJD

Capital

Suva

Land area

18.27K km²

Official languages

English, Fiji Hindi, Fijian

Population and GDP: World Bank. Country facts: bundled reference data.

Risk assessment

Silfio assessment of Fiji

NEWS

Conflict probability

0.6%

Model base probability

0.5%

Risk category

Minimal

Strategic reasoning

  • No prediction market data exists for Fiji, so adjustment relies solely on news signals.
  • News coverage indicates significant regional instability and military escalation in the Middle East and parts of Africa, but no direct or indirect signals of conflict risk involving Fiji.
  • Fiji is geographically distant and not mentioned in any reports of coups, insurgencies, or interstate conflicts.
  • However, the global trend of rising military tensions and coups in other regions suggests a modestly elevated global risk environment, which could indirectly increase the chance of instability even in relatively stable countries like Fiji.

Critical indicators

  • Ongoing US-Iran military conflict and regional instability in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea.
  • Recent coups and political stagnation in Niger and other African states.
  • Global military spending surge and increased militarization worldwide.

Related coverage

Latest articles about Fiji

Updated July 27, 2026

www.specialeurasia.com · 3 days ago

Persian Gulf and Red Sea Military Escalation: Intel Brief

United States-Iran ongoing military conflict directly threatens the stability of the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea as well as the entire Middle East.

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unz.com · 3 days ago

Prevent the Great War, by Israel Shamir - The Unz Review

A couple of weeks ago, in Ankara, the capital of Turkey, there was a NATO conference that sought yet more rearmament and militarization, steps that must inevitably lead to a new Great War. As an answer to this NATO conference, 200 ministers, members of parliament, ambassadors, politicians, ...

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timesofindia.indiatimes.com · 2 days ago

Saudi money, Chinese weapons, American patronage: Can Pakistan balance all three? - The Times of India

NEW DELHI: Pakistan is attempting one of its most ambitious foreign policy balancing acts in decades, seeking to simultaneously preserve its strategic partnership with China, deepen security ties with Saudi Arabia, rebuild relations with US President Donald Trump's administration, mediate between ...

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