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Silfio country intelligence

North Macedonia

Low risk2.0% annual probabilitystable trend

North Macedonia facts

Population

1.82M

GDP

$19.1B

Currency

MKD

Capital

Skopje

Land area

25.71K km²

Official languages

Macedonian

Population and GDP: World Bank. Country facts: bundled reference data.

Risk assessment

Silfio assessment of North Macedonia

NEWS

Conflict probability

2%

Model base probability

1.6%

Risk category

Low

Strategic reasoning

  • No prediction market data is available for North Macedonia, so adjustment relies solely on news signals.
  • Recent news indicates domestic instability factors such as a major public health scare in Gostivar due to suspected water contamination, which could exacerbate local grievances and social unrest.
  • Regional context includes ongoing unrest in neighboring Albania with anti-government protests described as a "colour revolution," which could have spillover effects or inspire similar unrest in North Macedonia.
  • No direct indications of interstate armed conflict threats or invasion risks against North Macedonia were found in the news.

Critical indicators

  • Suspected water contamination causing illness in Gostivar, North Macedonia.
  • Anti-government protests and political unrest in neighboring Albania.

Related coverage

Latest articles about North Macedonia

Updated July 20, 2026

financialafrik.com · 1 day ago

Middle East War: Towards a Global Conflagration and the Specter of a Water Apocalypse - Financial Afrik

Headed by Adama Wade and his team of 20 journalists, Kapital Afrik offers strategic and financial information to executives and managers. The aim of Kapital Afrik is to provide financial and political news, give priority to human entrepreneurial experiences, lend life to economic policies, ...

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www.greensocialthought.org · 1 day ago

The Flamingo Revolution in Albania: Anatomy of another Colour Revolution - Green Social Thought

The article examines the anti-government protests in Albania through the lens of previous "colour revolutions" in the Balkans and Eastern Europe. Drawing on the author's experiences in North Macedonia, it argues that genuine public grievances over corruption, environmental destruction, and ...

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kalingatv.com · 3 days ago

President Murmu to visit Moldova, North Macedonia, Romania from July 19-25

President Droupadi Murmu will embark on a historic state visit to Moldova, North Macedonia, and Romania from July 19 to 25.

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