All countries

Silfio country intelligence

Antigua and Barbuda

Minimal risk0.6% annual probabilitystable trend
Antigua and Barbuda flag

Antigua and Barbuda facts

Population

94.21K

GDP

$2.34B

Currency

XCD

Capital

Saint John's

Land area

442 km²

Official languages

English

Population and GDP: World Bank. Country facts: bundled reference data.

Risk assessment

Silfio assessment of Antigua and Barbuda

NEWS

Conflict probability

0.6%

Model base probability

0.5%

Risk category

Minimal

Strategic reasoning

  • No prediction market data exists for armed conflict risk in Antigua and Barbuda, so adjustment relies solely on news signals.
  • News coverage shows no indication of internal instability, insurgency, or domestic armed conflict in Antigua and Barbuda.
  • No reports or credible threats of interstate armed conflict or invasion involving Antigua and Barbuda are present.
  • Regional and global conflicts (e.g., US-Iran tensions, Ukraine-Russia war) do not directly implicate Antigua and Barbuda or suggest spillover risk to its territory.

Critical indicators

  • Antigua and Barbuda’s embassy and government engaging US lawmakers to correct immigration bill misinformation.
  • Ongoing global geopolitical tensions (US-Iran conflict, Ukraine-Russia war) but no direct impact on Antigua and Barbuda.

Related coverage

Latest articles about Antigua and Barbuda

Updated July 20, 2026

www.independent.co.uk · 1 hour ago

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Russian oil depots hit after Putin launches ballistic missile attack on Kyiv | The Independent

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in · Swipe for next article

Read source

thediplomat.com · 2 days ago

The Intensifying Geopolitics of Southeast Asia’s Military Modernization

At a time of growing regional turbulence, nations across the region are seeking to equip themselves with more and better armaments.

Read source

jamaicaobserver.com · 2 days ago

Antigua and Barbuda wants US to correct misinformation in proposed immigration bill - Jamaica Observer

WASHINGTON, United States (CMC)—Antigua and Barbuda has written to United States legislator, Nancy Mace, of South Carolina, regarding legislation she has introduced in the United States House of Representatives, indicating that there are several measures that need to be corrected.

Read source