Silfio country intelligence

Dominican Republic

Low risk1.2% annual probabilitystable trend

Population

11.52M

GDP

$127.41B

Currency

DOP

Capital

Santo Domingo

Land area

48.67K km²

Official languages

Spanish

Population and GDP: World Bank. Country facts: bundled reference data.

Risk assessment

Silfio assessment of Dominican Republic

NEWS

Conflict probability

1.2%

Model base probability

1.0%

Risk category

Low

Strategic reasoning

No prediction market data exists for armed conflict risk in the Dominican Republic, so adjustment relies solely on news signals.
News coverage shows no signs of internal unrest, insurgency, coup attempts, or interstate military threats against the Dominican Republic.
The country is actively promoting tourism, expanding infrastructure, and hosting international events, indicating relative stability and government control.
Regional geopolitical tensions (e.g., US operations in Latin America, Venezuela political issues) do not directly implicate imminent armed conflict onset on Dominican Republic soil.

Critical indicators

US escalation in the Caribbean and Latin America via Operation Southern Spear (regional context)
Dominican Republic’s active tourism promotion and infrastructure expansion (sign of stability)

Related coverage

Latest articles about Dominican Republic

Updated July 20, 2026

cepr.net · 3 days ago

US Escalation in the Caribbean and Latin America - Live Updates – CEPR

As the Trump administration escalates involvement through Operation Southern Spear, CEPR will track developments across Latin America, the Caribbean, and Washington.

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dominicanrepublicpost.com · 2 days ago

China’s Xi Jinping launches new AI alliance: What is it? - Dominican Republic Post – Caribbean News, Business, Travel & Culture

It was an artificial intelligence summit with very real-world geopolitical messaging.

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cyprus-mail.com · 16 hours ago

The anatomy of a geopolitical tragedy | Cyprus Mail

Cyprus’ modern history is defined by missed diplomatic opportunities, ideological blindness and the cold calculations of regional powers. Since 1974, the events leading to the island’s partition have been clouded by revisionism. Political groups describe the division as either a sudden ...

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