Silfio country intelligence

Trinidad and Tobago

Low risk1.2% annual probabilitystable trend

Population

1.37M

GDP

$25.94B

Currency

TTD

Capital

Port of Spain

Land area

5.13K km²

Official languages

English

Population and GDP: World Bank. Country facts: bundled reference data.

Risk assessment

Silfio assessment of Trinidad and Tobago

NEWS

Conflict probability

1.2%

Model base probability

0.9%

Risk category

Low

Strategic reasoning

No prediction market data exists for Trinidad and Tobago, so adjustment relies solely on news signals.
Current news indicates no direct or indirect threats of armed conflict on Trinidad and Tobago’s territory; no reports of internal unrest, insurgency, coup attempts, or foreign military threats involving Trinidad and Tobago.
Regional and global tensions are elevated, especially due to the US-Iran conflict and geopolitical instability in the Middle East and Southeast Asia, which could indirectly increase global risk appetite for conflict or terrorism.
Trinidad and Tobago’s Foreign Affairs Minister’s call for global unity against political terrorism suggests awareness of potential terrorism threats, which could marginally elevate risk of internal armed conflict onset.

Critical indicators

Foreign and Caricom Affairs Minister Sean Sobers calls for global unity against political terrorism (potential indirect risk factor).
Escalation of US-Iran conflict and broader geopolitical instability globally, raising general risk environment.

Related coverage

Latest articles about Trinidad and Tobago

Updated July 20, 2026

tribune.com.pk · 2 days ago

At the brink of all-out war | The Express Tribune

Tensions have escalated into open conflict once again after both the US and Iran called off their ceasefire. Tehran has reported mass casualties following US airstrikes that allegedly targeted civilian infrastructure, including bridges and an airport. With President Trump bent upon playing ...

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thediplomat.com · 2 days ago

The Intensifying Geopolitics of Southeast Asia’s Military Modernization

At a time of growing regional turbulence, nations across the region are seeking to equip themselves with more and better armaments.

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trinidadexpress.com · 15 hours ago

Sobers calls for global unity against political terrorism | Local News | trinidadexpress.com

Foreign and Caricom Affairs Minister Sean Sobers has called for a united international response to the growing threat of political terrorism.He declared that terrorism must be confronted regardless of ideology

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